You Gov on the general election

General Election outcome

A hung Parliament was a scenario very few Opinion Formers, and indeed people generally, predicted from the UK General Election as we discovered when last month we asked you what you thought might happen;

• 19% envisaged “a landslide majority of over a 100 seats for the Conservative party" 
• 57% thought that “a solid Conservative majority of around 50 seats” was almost certain or very likely to happen
• Just 21% predicted “a very small Conservative majority of around the previous level” 
• Only 8% predicted a hung parliament, with 4% thinking "the Conservatives forming a coalition government with another party" very likely, compared to 3% who thought Labour forming a coalition government was very likely.

The 2017 General Election certainly seems to fit the general narrative of surprising electoral outcomes around the world.